IJAER

International Journal of Agriculture and Environmental Research™

ISSN 2455-6939

Title:
ANALYSIS OF RAINFALL TREND USING MANN- KENDALL TEST AND THE SEN'S SLOPE ESTIMATOR: A CASE STUDY IN MATALE DISTRICT IN SRI LANKA

Authors:
S.R.R.P. Samarakoon , H.A. Dharmagunawardhane , T.D. Kularatne

Abstract:
Analysis of precipitation trends is important in studying the impacts of climate change for water resources planning and management. The present study entitled analysis of changes in precipitation trends in four administrative divisions in the Matale District Sri Lanka by examining the trends in monthly, annual and seasonal total rainfall of The daily rainfall data for the period of 33 years (1981-2013) from the records of the three rain gauging stations were analyzed using Modified Mann-Kendall Test (MKT) together with the Sen's Slope Estimator for determination of trend and slope magnitude of monthly, seasonal and annual rainfalls. The results indicated that there is an increasing trends for seasonal rainfall of 14.1 mm/year at Nalanda station and 6.4 mm/year at Dewahuwa station, while a decreasing trend of 2.3 mm/year at Dewahuwa and o 4.3 mm/year at Nalanda station. The highest annual trend of 21.3 mm/year was noted in the Nalanda station while lowest; 9.7 mm/year in the Pelwehera station. Observed trends indicate that increased annual rainfall could be expected in the Matale District in the future.

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