Authors:
Assitan DAOU, J. M. BABA, A. A. OKHIMAME, S. IBRAHIM, A. D. AKPA |
Abstract:
Rainfall is becoming more unpredictable and unreliable both in its timing and volume and
growing seasons are changing, ecological zones are shifting. Therefore, this study was conducted
to find out the impact of climate change on agricultural land use in Kogi State. For this purpose,
rainfall and temperature data from NIMET and questionnaire on farmer’s perception were used.
Binary Logit Model was used to determine factor that influence farmer size. Results show a
slight increase in both temperature and rainfall up to 0.4 and 0.10 respectively. Lowest and
highest temperatures were recorded in 1989 and 2005 respectively with values of 27.30C and
29.20C. In terms of adaptation strategies, seven (7) adaptation strategies were employed by
farmers, viz: changing planting dates, implement soil conservation schemes and change crop
variety at 31%, 22% and 21% respectively in response to change in rainfall. Logit regression
model reveals that change in rainfall patterns (Fpr. = 0.122) has no significant impact on
farmers’ decision to change farm size at 5% level of significance. However, number of family
member schooling (Fpr. = 0.01), household farming experience (Fpr. = 0.00) and access to credit
(Fpr. = 0.00) have significant impact on farmers’ decision to change farm size. |
